In this wild and woolly election season, the White residence is by no way the only battleground. Not only are Democrats hope to regain regulate of the Senate, but some also have their sights set on the home of Representatives, even though republicans there host their largest bulk (247-186, v two vacancies) in practically 90 years. Many GOP leaders additionally are pertained to that troubles at the top of your ticket could lead to far-reaching down-ballot losses, and some have actually expressed wishes that voters will be ready to separation their tickets if the presidential gyeongju doesn’t go well.
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Split-ticket districts supplied to be much an ext common. In Richard Nixon’s 1972 landslide re-election, because that example, 190 districts the voted for Nixon additionally elected autonomous representatives; just three, all in Massachusetts, went for both George McGovern and also a GOP representative. As newly as 1988, at least 145 the the 435 residence districts went one way for president and also the other for representative (Mississippi data to be unavailable for the year).
This trend has not gone unnoticed amongst political observers, and they’ve said several possible explanations: boosted political polarization, self-sorting of the population, and the advantages of incumbency. However two not unrelated attributes of split-ticket districts indigenous the days once they were an ext common walk a long way toward explaining why castle aren’t anymore.
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This to be a vestige the the “Solid South,” the decades in which most Southern states were overcame by conservative Democrats. That led, amongst other things, to long-serving Southern democratic senators and also representatives that faced tiny real the opposite at election time. Democratic dominance was currently waning through the 1970s, at the very least at the presidential level, yet took much longer to fade in Congress and also in state government. By 2012, voter in only eight southerly districts split their presidential and House votes – just 5% that the country’s separation districts that year.